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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Working paper
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

A Detailed Macroeconomic Analysis of President Biden's 2020 Campaign Tax Proposals

This paper provides a detailed exposition of the effects of President Biden’s 2020 campaign proposal on the U.S. economy and budget that are summarized in Page et al. (2021).  The analysis is done using...

July 20, 2021
Jason DeBackerRichard EvansBenjamin R. Page
Research report
State and Local Issues

Surveying State Leaders on the State of State Taxes

State taxes were upended in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic as governments shut down large parts of the economy. While overall state tax revenues have fared better than expected since then, state leaders have been closely examining existing tax policies and...

July 13, 2021
Lucy DadayanKim S. Rueben
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2020 Quarter 4

States reported solid revenue growth in the fourth quarter of 2020, but there is large variation across states and across revenue sources. Over a nine-month period (April through December 2020), state total tax revenues declined 2.2 percent compared to the same...

July 7, 2021
Lucy Dadayan
Research report
Federal Budget and Economy

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Searching for Supply-side Effects

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) instituted the most substantial changes in taxation in decades and was designed to boost the economy via supply-side incentives. This paper reviews these changes and examines the impacts on economic aggregates through 2019. The Act clearly reduced revenue...

July 6, 2021
William G. GaleClaire Haldeman
Testimony
Individual Taxes

The Effect of Tax Enforcement on Revenues

Janet Holtzblatt, senior fellow in the Tax Policy Center, testified before the Select Revenue Measures and Oversight subcommittees of House Ways and Means at a hearing on the tax gap and improving tax administration. The testimony focused on four key areas: the impact of reductions in the IRS’s...

June 10, 2021
Janet Holtzblatt
Testimony

Using Basic Income to Meet the Needs of DC Communities

Elaine Maag, Principal Research Associate in the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, testified before the Council of the District of Columbia’s Committee on Business and Economic Development. The hearing included a discussion on the “Child Wealth Building Act of 2021” (B24-236) and tax policy...

May 25, 2021
Elaine Maag
Testimony
State and Local Issues

Understanding Taxes that Can Raise Revenues to Help Offset Growing Wealth Inequality in the District of Columbia

Kim Rueben, Sol Price Fellow and Director of the State and Local Finance Initiative at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, testified before the Council of the District of Columbia’s Committee on Business and Economic Development. The hearing included a discussion on the “Child Wealth Building...

May 25, 2021
Kim S. Rueben
Brief
Federal Budget and Economy

Has $3.5 Trillion of Pandemic Relief Enacted in 2020 Altered the Nation’s Long-Term Budgetary Path?

The first CBO report of the Biden presidency laid out the fiscal status of the federal government at the start of his administration. Despite the multi-trillion-dollar response to the pandemic and related increases in national debt, the long-term direction of the federal budget has changed...

May 10, 2021
Erald KolasiC. Eugene Steuerle
Research report

Tax Policy Center International Investment and Capital Model: Corporate Income Tax Project Technical Brief

This technical brief describes the Tax Policy Center’s international investment and capital model (IICM) of cross-border tax rates. The Devereux-Griffith effective tax rate model underlying the IICM is explained in detail, and preliminary model outputs—effective marginal and average tax rates on...

April 28, 2021
Thornton Matheson
Brief
State and Local Issues

How Increasing the Federal EITC and CTC Could Affect State Taxes

The American Rescue Plan (ARP) Act of 2021 increased the federal earned income tax credit (EITC) and child tax credit (CTC). In turn, 28 states and the District of Columbia will see increases in their state EITCs because of existing linkages between federal and state tax codes. We estimate that...

April 22, 2021
Elaine MaagDavid Weiner

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