An Analysis of the House GOP Tax Plan

This research report was originally published by the Columbia Journal of Tax Law. The publication is updated version of, "An Analysis of the House GOP Tax Plan", published by the Tax Policy Center in September.

This paper analyzes the House GOP tax reform blueprint, which would significantly reduce marginal tax rates, increase standard deduction amounts, repeal personal exemptions and most itemized deductions, and convert business taxation into a destination-based cash flow consumption tax. Taxes would drop at all income levels in 2017, but the highest-income households would gain the most. Federal revenues would fall by $3.1 trillion over the first decade (static) and $3.0 trillion after accounting for macroeconomic feedback effects. Including added interest costs, the federal debt would rise by at least $3.6 trillion over the first decade and by as much as $9.2 trillion by the end of the second ten years.