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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Brief
Individual Taxes

Comparing Plans to Reduce Child Poverty: the Family Security Act 2.0 Framework and the Expanded Child Tax Credit

December 6, 2022
Kevin WernerNikhita AiriElaine Maag
Research report
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

Putting the Trust Back in the Black Lung Disability Trust Fund

This paper makes two key points. First, coal production is no longer a reliable source of revenue to fund the Black Lung Program. Second, the problem is going to get worse fast, and policymakers should promptly prepare for that and ensure that coal workers are not left behind. As the coal...

September 24, 2021
Siddhi DoshiAdele C. Morris
Brief
Business Taxes

Macroeconomic Analysis of Former Vice President Biden's Tax Proposals

NOTE: This is an updated version of the analysis published November 10, 2020.1

The Tax Policy Center (TPC) has analyzed the macroeconomic effects of the tax proposals that President Joe Biden advanced during his 2020 presidential campaign. We find the...

July 21, 2021
Benjamin R. PageJeffrey RohalyThornton MathesonGordon B. MerminJason DeBackerRichard Evans
Working paper
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

A Sensitivity Analysis of a Detailed Macroeconomic Analysis of President Biden's 2020 Campaign Tax Proposals

In this paper, we extend the analysis in DeBacker et al. (2021) and consider the sensitivity of the simulation results to the values of important, exogenous parameters. Like any model, the OG...

July 21, 2021
Richard EvansJason DeBackerBenjamin R. Page
Working paper
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

A Detailed Macroeconomic Analysis of President Biden's 2020 Campaign Tax Proposals

This paper provides a detailed exposition of the effects of President Biden’s 2020 campaign proposal on the U.S. economy and budget that are summarized in Page et al. (2021).  The analysis is done using...

July 20, 2021
Jason DeBackerRichard EvansBenjamin R. Page
Brief
Federal Budget and Economy

The Pandemic and President-Elect Biden’s Opportunity to Chart a New Course

How much has the COVID-19 pandemic changed America’s fiscal future and affected President-elect Biden’s opportunity to set a new course for fiscal policy? Largely as a consequence of the pandemic, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) in September projected a deficit of more than $3 trillion for...

December 30, 2020
Erald KolasiC. Eugene Steuerle
Brief
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

An Updated Analysis of Former Vice President Biden's Tax Proposals

NOTE: This is a corrected version of the analysis originally published October 15, 2020.

This brief updates estimates of the revenue and distributional effects of former vice president Joe Biden’s 2020 campaign tax...

November 6, 2020
Gordon B. MerminJanet HoltzblattSurachai KhitatrakunChenxi LuThornton MathesonJeffrey Rohaly
Research report

Boosting Wages or Helping Children? Understanding How New Earnings and Child Tax Credit Proposals Impact Income Inequality and Vulnerable Children

The earned income tax credit (EITC) and child tax credit (CTC) provide substantial benefits to working families with children. The EITC also provides modest benefits to workers without custodial children, often called “childless workers” for tax purposes. Together, the credits lift almost 9...

July 23, 2020
Elaine MaagRobert McClellandC. Eugene Steuerle
Brief
Individual Taxes

Comparing the EITC and Child Tax Credit Proposals

The earned income tax credit (EITC) and child tax credit (CTC) provide substantial benefits to working families with children. The EITC also provides modest benefits to workers without custodial children, often called “childless workers” for tax purposes. Together, the credits lift almost 9...

July 23, 2020
Elaine MaagRobert McClellandC. Eugene Steuerle
Brief
Individual Taxes

Understanding the Maze of Recent Child and Work Incentive Proposals

Policymakers continue to grapple with the related issues of unequal incomes, relatively poor health, education, and economic outcomes for low-income children, and hardship among low- and...

June 1, 2020
Elaine MaagNikhita Airi

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