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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Brief
Individual Taxes

Machine Learning and Tax Enforcement

Each year, the Internal Revenue Services receives over 3 billion information returns, such as W-2s and 1099-INTs, from employers, banks, and other entities. The IRS also collects some data about taxpayers from other government agencies and the private sector. But given budget cuts and data...

June 22, 2022
Janet HoltzblattAlex Engler
Research report

The Tax Gap’s Many Shades of Gray (Report)

The “tax gap”—the difference between the amount of taxes owed and the amount of tax actually paid—includes substantial gray areas where the law is ambiguous and the IRS’s determination of taxes owed is debatable. Understanding the tax gap’s shades of gray can inform discussions of tax law and...

February 22, 2022
Daniel HemelJanet HoltzblattSteven M. Rosenthal
Research report
Individual Taxes

Effects of Recent Reductions in the Internal Revenue Service’s Appropriations on Returns on Investment

From 2010 through 2019, funding for the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) dropped by 24 percent, after adjustment for inflation. As a consequence, the percentage of taxpayers who were audited fell by nearly half. In this paper, we use confidential IRS data to compare the returns on investments (ROI...

June 26, 2020
Janet HoltzblattJamie McGuire
Research report
Individual Taxes

Self-Employment Patterns for Men and Women and Implications for Tax Compliance

The rise of the gig economy has increased interest in the self-employment sector and highlighted the benefits and costs of these types of jobs. One understudied issue is that self-employment (which overlaps substantially with the gig economy) concerns a part of the tax code that is difficult for...

December 9, 2019
H. Elizabeth PetersElaine Maag
Journal Article
Individual Taxes

The Inside Agitator

This article reviews the 18-year tenure of the just-retired National Taxpayer Advocate, Nina Olson, and her successes and challenges in building the post into a key role in tax administration through casework, systemic advocacy, and detailed reports to Congress.

The critical appreciation...

September 19, 2019
Robert A. Weinberger
Research report
Individual Taxes

Shifting Child Tax Benefits in the TCJA Left Most Families About the Same

This report analyzes the main provisions of the federal income tax code that provide benefits to families with children, comparing current law with what would be happening had the TCJA not been enacted, and discusses the TCJA’s implications for families of different income levels. On net, almost...

August 16, 2019
Elaine Maag
Brief
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

The Filer Voter Experiment: How Effective is Voter Registration at Tax Time?

The Filer Voter experiment, conducted in 2018, assessed the effectiveness of conducting voter registration drives at Volunteer Income Tax Assistance (VITA) sites for lower-income households in Cleveland and Dallas. The Filer Voter program doubled the likelihood of unregistered voters registering...

July 15, 2019
Vanessa Williamson
Research report
Individual Taxes

Focus on the Tax 'Avoidance' Gap

President Obama's tax reform task force has been asked to propose ways to close the $300 billion tax gap, which is the estimated difference between taxes owed and taxes paid either voluntarily or through enforcement. But the amount of money lost to legal tax avoidance - the difference between an...

September 10, 2009
Eric Toder
Research report
Individual Taxes

What is the Tax Gap?

In this paper Toder addresses issues related to measurement of the tax gapthe difference between tax liability under the current Federal tax law and taxes paid. He discusses how the tax gap is defined, reviews the main components of the tax gap, and describes how the IRS estimates it, as well as...

October 22, 2007
Eric Toder
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