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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Brief
Individual Taxes

Lack of Awareness and Confusion over Eligibility Prevented Some Families from Getting Child Tax Credit Payments

In 2021, the American Rescue Plan Act temporarily expanded the child tax credit (CTC) to provide a credit of up to $3,000 per child ages 6 to 17 and up to $3,600 per child under age 6. Many families with very low incomes, including some not typically required to file a tax return, were eligible...

August 3, 2022
Michael KarpmanElaine Maag
Brief
Individual Taxes

Many Adults with Lower Income Prefer Monthly Child Tax Credit Payments

Families typically receive the child tax credit (CTC) as part of an annual refund after filing their tax returns. The American Rescue Plan Act changed that temporarily. From July to December 2021, the Internal Revenue Service automatically delivered up to half the anticipated annual credit to...

July 27, 2022
Elaine MaagMichael Karpman
Research report
Business Taxes

How Much Do Tax-Exempt Organizations Benefit from Tax Exemption?

Tax-exempt organizations are subsidized relative to taxable organizations because income related to furthering their core mission is excluded from income tax. The value of this subsidy is unclear. There is no government-provided estimate, and the tax benefit for any organization depends on the...

July 27, 2022
Nathan BornAdam Looney
Working paper
Federal Budget and Economy

Taxation and the Origins of the Constitution

In the years following the American Revolution, the states and Congress struggled to pay down the domestic debt, which had consolidated in the hands of wealthy speculators. With a serious money shortage in the countryside, small farmers found they could not pay their taxes – and many were angry...

July 18, 2022
Vanessa Williamson
Working paper
Federal Budget and Economy

The Whiskey Rebellion and the Fight for Equal Taxation in Early America

In response to Hamilton’s upwardly redistributive “funding system,” which directed revenue from a regressive tax on whiskey to the wealthy owners of public debt, western Pennsylvania farmers revolted, seeking a new tax system that was “equal” – that is, proportionate to wealth. To the extent...

July 18, 2022
Vanessa Williamson
Brief
Individual Taxes

Machine Learning and Tax Enforcement

Each year, the Internal Revenue Services receives over 3 billion information returns, such as W-2s and 1099-INTs, from employers, banks, and other entities. The IRS also collects some data about taxpayers from other government agencies and the private sector. But given budget cuts and data...

June 22, 2022
Janet HoltzblattAlex Engler
Testimony
Federal Budget and Economy

Tackling the Tax Code: Evaluating Fairness, Efficiency, and Potential to Spur Inclusive Economic Growth

On June 22, 2022, William Gale testified before the House Select Committee on Economic Disparity and Fairness in Growth in a hearing entitled, "Tackling the Tax Code: Evaluating Fairness, Efficiency, and Potential to Spur Inclusive Economic Growth."

June 22, 2022
William G. Gale
Research report
State and Local Issues

An Update on the Synthetic Control Method as a Tool to Understand State Policy

In 2017, the Tax Policy Center published “The Synthetic Control Method as a Tool to Understand State Policy,” a guide for using the synthetic control method (SCM) as a quantitative adjunct to case studies. With it, analysts can evaluate cases in which there is a single treated unit and no...

May 31, 2022
Robert McClellandLivia Mucciolo
Brief
State and Local Issues

What is the Synthetic Control Method?

In 2010, Abadie, Diamond and Hainmueller used the synthetic control method to analyze a cigarette tax implemented in California in 1988. Since then, this method has been increasingly popular, with the original article garnering more than four thousand citations. Part of the synthetic control...

May 31, 2022
Robert McClellandLivia Mucciolo
Research report
Business Taxes

Effects of 2017 US Federal Tax Overhaul on the Energy Sector

This paper examines how the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) will affect the US energy sector. It combines qualitative analysis of a range of TCJA provisions with estimates from the Tax Policy Center’s Investment and Capital Model of how a narrower set of provisions will change marginal effective...

May 24, 2022
Brandon CunninghamChenxi LuEric ToderRoberton C. Williams III

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