Research report

Many industrialized countries face significant medium-term fiscal deficits and unsustainable long-term fiscal trajectories. The recent fiscal crises in Greece and other countries are a stark reminder of the costs of ignoring these issues. The looming fiscal shortfalls and borrowing requirements...

June 3, 2011
William G. GaleBenjamin H. Harris
Research report

We present new estimates of the budget outlook, incorporating the impact of the recent debt-limit deal and the latest projections by the Congressional Budget Office and the Medicare and Social Security Trustees.Although the official budget figures have improved relative to a year ago (as a...

September 1, 2011
Alan J. AuerbachWilliam G. Gale
Research report

The CBO recently projected that the federal government will collect about 15.3 percent of GDP in revenue during the 2011 fiscal year. Although this is higher than 2009 or 2010, federal receipts will still be much lower than the average from 1981 to 2007. The slow economic recovery explains a...

September 27, 2011
Samuel Brown
Research report

Two ways of reducing the deficit are imposing a broad VAT with a rebate to offset the burden on low-income households and increasing marginal income tax rates. The prototype VAT would impose a larger burden on low- and middle-income households than raising income tax rates and increase...

November 22, 2011
James R. NunnsJoseph RosenbergEric Toder
Research report

Funding and investing in infrastructure are not only about finding adequate resources to meet the demands of citizenry, but rather requires understanding of how infrastructure fits into the broader functions of government. This brief examines the key role of pricing infrastructure projects and...

January 18, 2012
Michael A. Pagano
Research report

Taxpayers can currently deduct interest on up to $1 million in acquisition debt used to buy, build, or improve their primary residence or a second designated residence. They can also deduct interest on up to $100,000 in home equity loans or other loans secured by their properties, regardless of...

December 8, 2015
Chenxi LuJoseph RosenbergEric Toder
Research report

The report discusses the important budget events of 2011. It begins with the House Republican budget and the president's response. The very different approaches to health and discretionary spending and tax policy are analyzed in detail. The policy debate continued into the confused debt limit...

January 20, 2012
John L. PalmerRudolph G. Penner
Research report

A value added tax (VAT) with a broad base and a VAT that excludes food, housing, and medical care would both impose larger burdens as a share of income on low-income than on high-income taxpayers. A rebate aimed at low-income taxpayers would reduce their VAT burden more than exclusions of...

February 14, 2012
Eric ToderJames R. NunnsJoseph Rosenberg
Research report

We present new estimates of the budget outlook, incorporating the latest projections by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Even with the economy recovering fully by 2018, current policy will result in deficits close to $9 trillion (4.5 percent of GDP) over the next decade, with the debt-to-...

October 10, 2012
Alan J. AuerbachWilliam G. Gale
Research report

This paper analyzes three options to increase individual income tax rates to reduce the projected debt-to-GDP to 60% by 2020, 2025 or 2035. Option 1 increases all individual income tax rates, Option 2 increases only the top three rates, and Option 3 only the top two rates. Options are analyzed...

March 6, 2012
Eric ToderJames R. NunnsJoseph Rosenberg