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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Brief
Federal Budget and Economy

How Did the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Of 2017 Affect the Housing Market?

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) dramatically changed tax law, including how taxpayers deduct the interest on their home mortgages. It narrowed the deduction in several ways, so we would expect new mortgages to be smaller than old ones. But it also raised most taxpayers’ after-tax...

March 30, 2022
Robert McClellandLivia MuccioloSafia Sayed
Research report
Federal Budget and Economy

New Evidence on The Effect of The TCJA On the Housing Market

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) dramatically changed tax law. It narrowed the subsidy on mortgage interest in several ways, which should lower mortgages and home prices; it also increased most taxpayers’ after-tax incomes, which should have the opposite effect. Thus, the TCJA’s overall...

March 30, 2022
Robert McClellandLivia MuccioloSafia Sayed
Research report
Individual Taxes

Expanding Modeling Capacity on Tax Expenditures for Homeownership

This report describes the Tax Policy Center (TPC) Microsimulation Model’s revamped home mortgage interest deduction (MID) module. The TPC tax model uses the module for simulating proposals that reform the MID. The new MID module improves upon the prior one in accounting for potential changes in...

July 17, 2020
Surachai KhitatrakunEric ToderRobert McClellandChenxi Lu
Brief
Individual Taxes

Effects of Tax Incentives on Homeownership

Federal tax law provides several tax benefits for homeowners. This chartbook focuses on the home mortgage interest deduction. We provide updated estimates of the distributional effects of the home mortgage interest deduction, show how those estimates could change if people pay down their home...

July 1, 2020
Chenxi LuEric ToderSurachai KhitatrakunRobert McClelland
Brief
Individual Taxes

What are the Largest Nonbusiness Tax Expenditures?

In this brief we consider the largest nonbusiness tax expenditures in the individual income tax. We provide a description of these provisions, estimates of their cost and the distribution of their tax benefits across income groups, and briefly summarize their effects. We consider tax...

July 17, 2019
Frank SammartinoEric Toder
Research report
Federal Budget and Economy

Distributional Effects of Individual Income Tax Expenditures After the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

This paper provides estimates of the total cost of and distributional effects of nonbusiness tax expenditures claimed on individual tax returns after enactment of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, taking account of interactions among provisions. Nonbusiness tax expenditures will reduce tax...

June 5, 2019
Eric ToderDaniel Berger
Research report
Individual Taxes

The Mortgage Interest Deduction: Revenue and Distributional Effects

Conventional estimates that do not fully account for this rebalancing overstate the increase in revenues associated with eliminating the MID and will also overstate the progressivity of eliminating the MID, because households with higher levels of non-residential assets might respond by selling...

August 24, 2018
Austin J. DrukkerTed GayerHarvey S. Rosen
Research report
Individual Taxes

Effects of Reforms of the Home Mortgage Interest Deduction by Income Group and by State

This report considers three options for restructuring the home mortgage interest deduction – replacing the deduction with a 15 percent non-refundable interest credit, reducing the ceiling on debt eligible for an interest subsidy to $500,000, and combining the substitution of the credit for the...

December 6, 2016
Chenxi LuEric Toder
Research report
Individual Taxes

Options to Reform the Deduction for Home Mortgage Interest

Taxpayers can currently deduct interest on up to $1 million in acquisition debt used to buy, build, or improve their primary residence or a second designated residence. They can also deduct interest on up to $100,000 in home equity loans or other loans secured by their properties, regardless of...

December 8, 2015
Chenxi LuJoseph RosenbergEric Toder
Brief
Individual Taxes

Net Capital Gains Across Zip Codes

This brief examines net capital gains realizations by utilizing zip-code level data on taxes and demographics. This data can help shed light on direct beneficiaries of preferential capital gains tax rates beyond the standard distributional tables based solely on income. In particular, this brief...

December 12, 2014
Benjamin H. HarrisLucie Parker

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