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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Research report
State and Local Issues

An Update on the Synthetic Control Method as a Tool to Understand State Policy

In 2017, the Tax Policy Center published “The Synthetic Control Method as a Tool to Understand State Policy,” a guide for using the synthetic control method (SCM) as a quantitative adjunct to case studies. With it, analysts can evaluate cases in which there is a single treated unit and no...

May 31, 2022
Robert McClellandLivia Mucciolo
Brief
State and Local Issues

What is the Synthetic Control Method?

In 2010, Abadie, Diamond and Hainmueller used the synthetic control method to analyze a cigarette tax implemented in California in 1988. Since then, this method has been increasingly popular, with the original article garnering more than four thousand citations. Part of the synthetic control...

May 31, 2022
Robert McClellandLivia Mucciolo
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2021 Quarter 4

Total state tax revenue collections increased 24.1 percent in nominal terms and 17.2 percent in real terms in the fourth quarter of 2021 relative to a year earlier.

Although state revenue collections have grown rapidly in the most recent months and reported revenue growth is widespread...

May 17, 2022
Lucy Dadayan
Testimony
State and Local Issues

Understanding The 2014 DC Tax Revision Commission’s Recommendation to Eliminate Certain Individual Income Tax Expenditures

Kim Rueben, Sol Price Fellow at the Urban Institute, and Richard Auxier, Senior Policy Associate at the Urban Institute, testified before the Council of the District of Columbia’s Committee on Business and Economic Development on March 14, 2022. The hearing included a discussion on the “Pension...

April 8, 2022
Kim S. RuebenRichard C. Auxier
Research report

How Post-Pandemic Tax Cuts Can Affect Racial Equity

State policymakers across the country are considering tax cuts in 2022. While there are many reasons and ways to cut taxes, state policymakers should keep in mind that the pandemic’s negative effects were unequal and that future state revenue growth is uncertain. This report, using the Tax...

February 9, 2022
Richard C. Auxier
Research report
State and Local Issues

Following the Money on Fines and Fees

Federal, state, and local government officials are increasingly paying attention to reforms of fines and fees. These constitute a small share of total revenues, but they can be particularly harmful because of unjust policing and sentencing practices. This research report first explores how much...

January 13, 2022
Aravind BoddupalliLivia Mucciolo
Research report

Balancing at the Edge of the Cliff

Public benefit programs have the potential to help stabilize families when their income drops and can provide support as parents enter or reenter the workforce. As a family’s earnings rise, though, those earnings increases are often offset by declines in public...

January 11, 2022
Theresa AndersonAmelia CoffeyHannah DalyHeather HahnElaine MaagKevin Werner
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2021 Quarter 2

State tax revenues saw large swings since the onset of the pandemic, in part because of government actions and behavioral responses to mitigate virus exposure.

States reported strong revenue growth in the second quarter of 2021, but that is largely because of the lower base in 2020. Still...

December 9, 2021
Lucy Dadayan
Brief
State and Local Issues

More Than Fines and Fees: Incorporating Equity into City Revenue Strategies

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, city leaders are working to tackle structural inequities in access to wealth and opportunity. An infusion of federal dollars from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and American Rescue Plan Act provides an opportunity to rethink past budget choices....

December 1, 2021
Aravind BoddupalliTracy GordonLourdes Germán
Brief
Federal Budget and Economy

Lessons from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act for an Inclusive Recovery from the Pandemic

By examining federal aid to state and local governments during the Great Recession, we draw lessons that can inform current state and local efforts to build an inclusive economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. We primarily compare the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 with the...

November 19, 2021
Aravind BoddupalliNikhita AiriTracy GordonSolomon Greene

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