Income tax (individual)

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Working paper
Federal Budget and Economy

A New Approach for Estimating the Impact of Tax Policies by Race and Ethnicity

This working paper describes the method the Tax Policy Center (TPC) has used to enhance its tax microsimulation model to enable analysis of the distributional effects of tax policies by race and ethnicity. It also presents preliminary results using the enhanced model. Like microsimulation models...

February 10, 2023
Surachai KhitatrakunGordon B. MerminBenjamin R. PageJeffrey Rohaly
Working paper
Individual Taxes

Penalties for Unauthorized Disclosure and Data Privacy

The literature on data privacy often ignores the value of penalties in strengthening data protection while allowing data to safely be shared for research purposes. This note explains why significant penalties and effective enforcement for unauthorized disclosures of confidential data should be...

October 19, 2022
Leonard E. Burman
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2022 Quarter 1

Total state tax revenue collections increased 21.7 percent in nominal terms and 13.9 percent in real terms in the first quarter of 2022 relative to a year earlier.

The double-digit growth in state tax revenues is from very volatile sources and is largely attributable to atypical revenue-...

August 23, 2022
Lucy Dadayan
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2021 Quarter 4

Total state tax revenue collections increased 24.1 percent in nominal terms and 17.2 percent in real terms in the fourth quarter of 2021 relative to a year earlier.

Although state revenue collections have grown rapidly in the most recent months and reported revenue growth is widespread...

May 17, 2022
Lucy Dadayan
Research report

Balancing at the Edge of the Cliff

Public benefit programs have the potential to help stabilize families when their income drops and can provide support as parents enter or reenter the workforce. As a family’s earnings rise, though, those earnings increases are often offset by declines in public...

January 11, 2022
Theresa AndersonAmelia CoffeyHannah DalyHeather HahnElaine MaagKevin Werner
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2021 Quarter 2

State tax revenues saw large swings since the onset of the pandemic, in part because of government actions and behavioral responses to mitigate virus exposure.

States reported strong revenue growth in the second quarter of 2021, but that is largely because of the lower base in 2020. Still...

December 9, 2021
Lucy Dadayan
Research report

A Synthetic Supplemental Public-Use File of Low-Income Information Return Data: Methodology, Utility, and Privacy Implications

The Statistics of Income division of the Internal Revenue Service releases an annual public-use file of individual income tax returns that is invaluable to tax analysts in government agencies, nonprofit research organizations, and the private sector. However, the Statistics of Income division...

November 11, 2020
Claire BowenVictoria L. BryantLeonard E. BurmanSurachai KhitatrakunGraham MacDonaldRobert McClellandPhilip StallworthKyle UeyamaAaron R. WilliamsNoah Zwiefel
Research report
Individual Taxes

Expanding Modeling Capacity on Tax Expenditures for Homeownership

This report describes the Tax Policy Center (TPC) Microsimulation Model’s revamped home mortgage interest deduction (MID) module. The TPC tax model uses the module for simulating proposals that reform the MID. The new MID module improves upon the prior one in accounting for potential changes in...

July 17, 2020
Surachai KhitatrakunEric ToderRobert McClellandChenxi Lu
Brief
Individual Taxes

Effects of Tax Incentives on Homeownership

Federal tax law provides several tax benefits for homeowners. This chartbook focuses on the home mortgage interest deduction. We provide updated estimates of the distributional effects of the home mortgage interest deduction, show how those estimates could change if people pay down their home...

July 1, 2020
Chenxi LuEric ToderSurachai KhitatrakunRobert McClelland
Research report
Individual Taxes

Self-Employment Patterns for Men and Women and Implications for Tax Compliance

The rise of the gig economy has increased interest in the self-employment sector and highlighted the benefits and costs of these types of jobs. One understudied issue is that self-employment (which overlaps substantially with the gig economy) concerns a part of the tax code that is difficult for...

December 9, 2019
H. Elizabeth PetersElaine Maag