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Individual Taxes: TaxVox

A Not-So-Sweet Story of the Value-Added Tax

Before you head out for Black Friday shopping, take note of what can happen with a European-style Value-Added Tax run amok, courtesy of our friends at TaxProf. In a paper presented Nov. 18 at the University of Connecticut Tax Lecture Series, Oxford University's Rita de la Feria described the amusing but instructive case of Jaffa Cakes. If these confections were indeed cake, they would be treated as food and thus exempt from the VAT. If, however, they were cookies, they would be subject to the full 17.5 percent rate.
November 27, 2008Howard Gleckman
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox

What Should Obama’s Stimulus Look Like?

Barack Obama has set quite a goal for himself: He wants a fiscal stimulus that will both boost today's economy and lay the groundwork for "long-term sustained… growth." Doing both will not be easy. In fact, it may not be possible. So which is more important?
November 25, 2008Howard Gleckman
Individual Taxes: Brief

Are There Opportunities to Increase Social Security Progressivity despite Underfunding?

This paper reviews why Social Security fails to lift more aged low-wage workers and people of color out of poverty. It examines the payroll tax and benefit formula and reviews literature about OASDI outcomes by race, gender, and earnings level. It describes how mortality, earnings, disability,
November 25, 2008Melissa M. FavreaultGordon B. Mermin
Individual Taxes: TaxVox

Will Recession Make Health Reform Easier for Obama?

It seems paradoxical, but some well-connected health reformers are arguing that a costly remake of U.S. insurance may be more likely in the wake of the economic slump. Their theory: Since we are already spending hundreds of billions to bail out the financial system and since the Obama Administration is likely to pump out a similar amount in fiscal stimulus early next year, the time may be right to spend a few hundred billion more on health coverage for the uninsured.
November 24, 2008Howard Gleckman
: Research report

When Marginal and Statutory Tax Rates Differ

From an economic perspective, marginal tax rates play a critical role in determining the consequences of a change in tax policy. In an uncomplicated tax system the marginal rate is simply equal to the statutory rate. For millions of taxpayers, however, marginal tax rates differ markedly from
November 21, 2008Benjamin H. HarrisRuth Levine
Individual Taxes: TaxVox

Data Matter

Last night, at one of those ubiquitous Washington cocktail receptions, I ran into an old friend who, for more than two decades, has been a policy analyst at a federal agency. Her hair-raising story, familiar to many inside the Beltway, is worth retelling as a new president prepares to take office. My friend runs a modest research shop within the bowels of a huge agency. Her job, to oversimplify a bit, is to take a hard look at billions of dollars of federal programs to determine what works and what doesn't.
November 20, 2008Howard Gleckman
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox

A Commissar of Cars

The debate over bailing out the auto industry is producing a veritable fleet of Pinto-like policy prescriptions. And they get worse by the day. First, an aide to Barack Obama hints the President-elect is considering an auto czar who'd have the authority to force the industry to retool in return for billions in taxpayer assistance. The Russian image is a good start, but the czar thing may be historically premature. Maybe better to call him the Commissar of Cars.
November 18, 2008Howard Gleckman
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

T08-0275 - Change in Tax Liability Under President-elect Obama's Tax Plan: Advisors' Version for Representative Married Families Filing Joint Returns, Assuming Current-Law Nonitemizers Do Not Have Mortgages, 2009

2009 change in tax liability under President-elect Obama's tax plan for a representative married family filing a joint return.
November 18, 2008
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

T08-0276 - Change in Tax Liability Under President-elect Obama's Tax Plan: Advisors' Version for Representative Elderly Families, Assuming Current-Law Nonitemizers Do Not Have Mortgages, 2009

2009 change in tax liability under President-elect Obama's tax plan for representative elderly families.
November 18, 2008
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

T08-0274 - Change in Tax Liability Under President-elect Obama's Tax Plan: Advisors' Version for Representative Nonelderly Single and Head of Household Families, Assuming Current-Law Nonitemizers Do Not Have Mortgages, 2009

2009 change in tax liability under President-elect Obama's tax plan for a representative nonelderly single and head of household family.
November 18, 2008
Individual Taxes: TaxVox

The Baucus-McCain Health Reform Plan

Well, not exactly. But I wanted to get your attention. Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mt.) has unveiled a blueprint for major health reform. And it includes a call for scaling back the tax benefits of employer sponsored insurance. Baucus has put on the table a variation of John McCain’s plan to scrap that benefit and use the money to finance a refundable credit for anyone buying insurance (either in the individual market or though their employer). This would be the very same idea that Barack Obama so frequently ripped as a massive tax increase on your health care.
November 13, 2008Howard Gleckman
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox

Bailing Out Detroit: Just Say No

Note to President-Elect Obama: Don't do it. I understand the politics. I even get the symbolism—iconic industry and all that. But the economics is really bad. Here are five reasons why:
November 11, 2008Howard Gleckman
Individual Taxes: TaxVox

Alan Reynolds and TPC Corporate Tax Estimates

Retrieved from the dustbin of the Wall Street Journal Letters Editor In his Nov. 1 Wall Street Journal op-ed, Alan Reynolds excoriates journalistic fact checkers for their carelessness, citing some of our estimates for support. But then he is similarly careless when he claims the Tax Policy Center (TPC) estimate of corporate rate cuts, “…is also nonsense because it's entirely static. The estimate assumes raising or lowering corporate tax rates has no effect on corporate decisions about where to locate production, income or costs, and no effect on the economy's performance.”
November 10, 2008Leonard E. Burman
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox

The Last Bubble

In a remarkable year, we have seen financial bubbles burst throughout the world. It is, say the market gurus, a deleveraging of historic proportions, unwinding decades of overreliance on easy money. But one bubble remains. It is the U.S. fiscal bubble. While other borrowers around the world are getting crushed by the sudden disappearance of credit, the U.S. Treasury is tapping bond markets at a once-unimaginable pace. On Nov. 3, Treasury announced it would have to raise $550 billion in the quarter ending Dec. 31. That is on top of the $530 billion it raised from July to September. More than $1 trillion in new debt. In six months.
November 7, 2008Howard Gleckman
Individual Taxes: TaxVox

What Will President Obama Do?

Barack Obama will be the next President of the United States and will govern with huge Democratic majorities in the House and Senate. What will he do? In his two-year campaign for president, Obama made many promises he cannot keep, and was exceedingly vague when it came to what he would do about critical issues such as the nation’s ongoing financial crisis. However, it is possible to make some educated guesses about where he’d try to take the country in the face of some major challenges.
November 5, 2008Howard Gleckman
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms: TaxVox

Campaign 2008: Taking Stock

After two years, endless charges and countercharges, the 2008 campaign is down to its final day. It seems like a good time to take stock of what I liked about this race and what I did not. I liked fact checking. Never before in a political campaign have so many done so much to call out candidates who fudge, exaggerate, manipulate data, and outright lie. I don’t know that all of this fact checking slowed the growth in irresponsible rhetoric, but it made us far more aware of each bit of blarney. I like that TPC did its part on taxes and health, and props to others out there doing similar work.
November 4, 2008Howard Gleckman
Individual Taxes: Current Law

T08-0248 - Aggregate AMT Projections, 2008-2018

2007-2018 Projections of the number of AMT taxpayers, the share of all taxpayers on the AMT, AMT revenue, average AMT revenue per AMT return, and...
November 3, 2008
Individual Taxes: Current Law

T08-0249 - Aggregate AMT Projections and Recent History, 1970-2018

Aggregate projections and recent history of AMT taxpayers and AMT revenue under current law, current law extended and pre-EGTRRA law from the years 1970 to 2018.
November 3, 2008
Individual Taxes: Current Law

T08-0250 - AMT Participation Rate (percent) by Individual Characteristics

AMT participation rate under current law (2008-10, 2018), current law extended (2018) and pre-EGTRRA law (2008, 2010) by cash income, number of children, state tax level, and filing status.
November 3, 2008
Individual Taxes: Current Law

T08-0251 - AMT Revenue per AMT Taxpayer

AMT revenue per AMT taxpayer under current law (2008-2010, 2018), current law extended (2018) and pre-EGTRRA law (2008, 2010) by cash income, number of children,...
November 3, 2008
Individual Taxes: Current Law

T08-0252 - Distribution of AMT and Regular Income Tax by Cash Income, Current Law

2007, 2008, 2010 The number of tax units, percent of tax units, percent of adjusted gross income, and percent of tax liability by cash income...
November 3, 2008
Individual Taxes: Current Law

T08-0253 - Income Subject to Tax and Effective Marginal Tax Rates in the Regular Income Tax and the AMT Among AMT Taxpayers, Current Law

Comparison of income subject to tax and effective marginal tax rates under current law regular tax and current law AMT by cash income for the...
November 3, 2008
Individual Taxes: Current Law

T08-0254 - Effect of the AMT on 2001-2008 Individual Income Tax Cuts, 2010

2010 Share of tax units with no tax cut due to the AMT and the average share of the tax cut taken back by the...
November 3, 2008
Individual Taxes: TaxVox

In Summary: A Comparison of the Candidates’ Tax Plans

With the election a day away, today seems to be the appropriate time to summarize the differences in the candidates’ plans. The main differences are two: first, McCain proposes much larger tax cuts than Obama; and second, Obama’s plan tends to favor low- and middle-income taxpayers while McCain’s plan is more beneficial to those with higher incomes.
November 3, 2008Benjamin H. Harris
Federal Budget and Economy: Research report

Taxes under Obama and McCain

Tax policy has been a major issue in the Presidential election campaign, with both candidates proposing extensive changes. The candidates take very different approaches to tax policy. The main differences are two: first, McCain's plans would reduce revenues by significantly more than Obama's; and
November 3, 2008William G. GaleBenjamin H. Harris

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