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Individual Taxes: Research report

Revisiting the State and Local Tax Deduction

Many federal tax reform proposals would eliminate the state and local tax (SALT) deduction. Although deficit reduction often is the rationale, there are arguments for eliminating the deduction based on economic efficiency, equity, and improved federal fiscal policy. Eliminating the deduction,
March 31, 2016Frank SammartinoKim S. Rueben
Federal Budget and Economy: Working paper

Incorporating State Analysis into the Tax Policy Center's Microsimulation Model: Documentation and Methodology

The Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center’s (TPC) microsimulation model produces revenue and distributional estimates of the US federal tax system. This paper describes a reweighting procedure that allows the model to be used for analyzing taxes at the state level. We construct state weights such that
March 30, 2016Surachai KhitatrakunGordon B. MerminNorton Francis
Federal Budget and Economy: Working paper

Incorporating State Analysis into the Tax Policy Center's Microsimulation Model: Documentation and Methodology

The Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center’s (TPC) microsimulation model produces revenue and distributional estimates of the US federal tax system. This paper describes a reweighting procedure that allows the model to be used for analyzing taxes at the state level. We construct state weights such that
March 30, 2016Surachai KhitatrakunGordon B. MerminNorton Francis
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms: TaxVox

Cruz and Trump Would Slash Taxes on New Business Investment, But Cruz Would Cut Them More

Both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz say their tax plans would dramatically boost the economy by reducing taxes on new investment. According to the Tax Policy Center, both proposals would significantly cut taxes on investment and both would be far more generous than the Democratic hopefuls. However, Cruz
March 29, 2016Howard Gleckman
: Daily Deduction

Tax Day is around the corner, and the IRS can take your call!

The IRS improves service but remains under-funded. The Wall Street Journal reports (paywall) that the IRS answered 73 percent of its toll-free calls in the first week of March. That’s more than twice the rate as last year. Average time on hold fell from 21 minutes to nine. But the IRS continues to
March 28, 2016Renu Zaretsky
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms: TaxVox

The Gulf Between the Presidential Candidate Tax Plans Is Historic

When it comes to how their tax proposals affect households of different incomes, the contrast among the remaining presidential candidates is simply stunning. Calling it a gap hardly does it justice. It is an ocean of difference. How do you even describe the contrast between one candidate (Ted Cruz
March 23, 2016Howard Gleckman
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox

Paul Ryan and The “Ridiculous Notion” of Tax Distribution

Last week, House Speaker Paul Ryan said in a CNBC interview that the distributional analysis of tax plans done by the Tax Policy Center, the Joint Committee on Taxation, and others is based on the “ridiculous notion” that the effect of tax changes on different income groups is important. Ryan, who
March 22, 2016Howard Gleckman
: Daily Deduction

Are Presidential Candidates' Tax Plans Getting Closer Looks?

Would these New York millionaires back Trump’s tax plan? More than 40 millionaires in the state of New York wrote a letter to Governor Andrew Cuomo and state lawmakers asking them to raise state income tax rates for the highest-income 1 percent of New Yorkers. Their aim: To offset Donald Trump’s
March 21, 2016Renu Zaretsky
Individual Taxes: TaxVox

Britain Builds a Better Soda Tax

Britain will soon tax sugary drinks. Whether you love that idea or hate it, you’ve got to give the Brits credit: They’ve designed a better version of the tax than any other government. Beginning in 2018, the United Kingdom will charge the equivalent of 0.75 cents per ounce for drinks that contain
March 21, 2016Donald Marron
: Daily Deduction

Tax Reform Inch by Inch, Hearing by Hearing

Tomorrow on the Hill. The Senate is in recess until April 4, but the Tax Policy Subcommittee of the House Ways & Means panel will hold the first in a planned series of hearings to share ideas for fundamental tax reform. Tuesday’s hearing will focus on cash-flow and consumption-based approaches
March 20, 2016Renu Zaretsky
: Daily Deduction

Differences, Numbers, and Distribution

Will the House vote on a budget next week? Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy says no: “More conversations among members will be required before moving the budget to the floor.” In other words, Republicans need to work out their differences. Fiscal hawks remain opposed to the budget deal struck last
March 17, 2016Renu Zaretsky
: Daily Deduction

Caution, Cuts, and a Chunk of Change

Minnesota’s governor scales back his budget proposal. Given worries about an economic slowdown, Democratic Governor Mark Dayton says , “We need to be very cautious in what we obligate in tax cuts and spending increases.” The governor proposes $700 million in new spending, including $117 million in
March 16, 2016Renu Zaretsky
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms: TaxVox

Taxes on the Rich May Change a Lot in 2017

It’s good to be rich. Depending on who becomes the next president, it could get a lot better or a lot worse. Thanks to our colleagues at the Tax Policy Center , we have a clearer picture of how the tax code would look if different presidential candidates win the election and convince Congress to
March 16, 2016William G. GaleAaron Krupkin
: Daily Deduction

Budget Battles Continue

The House Budget Committee released a spending plan for 2017. The panel will mark it up today. The budget would cut $7 trillion from the federal deficit over the next decade and maintain spending ceilings set in last year’s budget deal that then-speaker John Boehner cut with the White House. The
March 15, 2016Renu Zaretsky
: Daily Deduction

Only Thirty-three days till Tax Day!

Have you received a tax refund yet? About half of US taxpayers expect to get their check in the mail this spring. A new Bankrate survey of taxpayers found that 31 percent plan to save or invest their refund. But 28 percent say they’ll use their refund to pay down debt. Another 27 percent would
March 14, 2016Renu Zaretsky
: Daily Deduction

The waiting is the hardest part.

An international tax reform draft will be here eventually, just not this month. The House Ways & Means subcommittee on tax policy will not have its draft ready by the first quarter as subcommittee chair Charles Boutsany, Jr., had hoped, reports Tax Analysts ( paywall ). Boustany’s office did
March 13, 2016Renu Zaretsky
: Daily Deduction

Policy, Proposals, and Pleas

Last night’s debate featured some policy discussion! Donald Trump threatened a 45 percent tax on imports. Ted Cruz said his tax plan would be better than Trump’s high tariff. The candidates also shared—albeit briefly—how they would save Social Security and reduce the deficit. Problem is, as Urban
March 10, 2016Renu Zaretsky
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms: TaxVox

The Challenges of Modeling Presidential Tax Plans

The Challenges of Modeling Presidential Tax Plans The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget sponsored a fascinating discussion yesterday on estimating presidential candidate tax plans. My Tax Policy Center colleague Len Burman, Kyle Pomerleau of the Tax Foundation, and Bob McIntyre of Citizens
March 10, 2016Howard Gleckman
: Daily Deduction

Schemes, Scams and States' Fights

The UK Supreme Court rules against two bank tax schemes. It says Deutsche Bank and UBS must pay taxes on two employee bonus plans. In 2003, the banks set up two £90 million ($128 million) plans to reduce tax liabilities on some bonuses the following year. The UK tax agency said the scheme amounted
March 9, 2016Renu Zaretsky
State and Local Issues: TaxVox

Is your state’s tax system punching above or below its weight?

When debating tax changes, politicians, advocates, and journalists often use rankings to argue whether they reside in a high- or low-tax state. Possibly the most- cited measure is per capita revenue —how much a state raises per resident—because it allows for 50-state comparisons. But revenues are
March 9, 2016Richard C. Auxier
: Daily Deduction

Penalties, a Panel, a Surplus and Rules

Tax season brings higher ACA penalties for the uninsured. H&R Block reports its customers who owe a penalty under the Affordable Care Act for not carrying health insurance in 2015, are paying an average fine of $383. The average in 2014 was $172 for 2014. Among those who purchased health
March 8, 2016Renu Zaretsky
Individual Taxes: TaxVox

Complicated Families: Complicated Tax Returns

Every year, the federal government directs over $170 billion in tax benefits toward families with children. But families are getting more complicated, and as they do, so does tax filing for benefits such as the earned income tax credit (EITC), child tax credit (CTC), dependent exemption, head of
March 8, 2016Elaine Maag
Federal Budget and Economy: Research report

Assessing Fiscal Capacities of States: A Representative Revenue System–Representative Expenditure System Approach, Fiscal Year 2012

States vary in how much governments collect in revenue and spend on goods and services. To understand the sources of these differences, we examined what states could raise (revenue capacity) and would spend (expenditure need) if they followed national averages, taking into account their own
March 8, 2016Tracy GordonRichard C. AuxierJohn Iselin
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms: TaxVox

TPC Launches Beta Website

In a few weeks, the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center will launch our new website. Starting today, the site is running in “beta,” and we invite you to give us your feedback. Feedback As you explore the new site, you will see a tab in the lower right-hand corner of every page. Use this tab to tell
March 7, 2016Leonard E. Burman
: Daily Deduction

Budget Chaos, Tax Breaks, Loopholes, and Incentives

Senate Republicans are delaying their budget. Facing fiscal chaos in the House, Senate Budget Committee Chair Mike Enzi announced yesterday that his panel will hold off on its budget work at least until April. Meanwhile, Democratic senators Harry Reid, Dick Durbin, Chuck Schumer, Patty Murray and
March 7, 2016Renu Zaretsky

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