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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Brief
Individual Taxes

Effects of Tax Incentives on Homeownership

Federal tax law provides several tax benefits for homeowners. This chartbook focuses on the home mortgage interest deduction. We provide updated estimates of the distributional effects of the home mortgage interest deduction, show how those estimates could change if people pay down their home...

July 1, 2020
Chenxi LuEric ToderSurachai KhitatrakunRobert McClelland
Research report
Individual Taxes

Effects of Recent Reductions in the Internal Revenue Service’s Appropriations on Returns on Investment

From 2010 through 2019, funding for the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) dropped by 24 percent, after adjustment for inflation. As a consequence, the percentage of taxpayers who were audited fell by nearly half. In this paper, we use confidential IRS data to compare the returns on investments (ROI...

June 26, 2020
Janet HoltzblattJamie McGuire
Brief
Individual Taxes

Understanding the Maze of Recent Child and Work Incentive Proposals

Policymakers continue to grapple with the related issues of unequal incomes, relatively poor health, education, and economic outcomes for low-income children, and hardship among low- and...

June 1, 2020
Elaine MaagNikhita Airi
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2019 Quarter 4

State tax revenues showed continued growth in the first half of fiscal year 2020. State government tax revenues from major sources showed solid year-over-year growth at 6.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019. Preliminary data show strong growth in January and February before declines in March...

May 26, 2020
Lucy Dadayan
Brief
Individual Taxes

Design Changes Can Strengthen the EITC During Recessions

We examine how proposals to modify and expand the EITC would change its impacts during economic downturns. Using components from the Economic Security Project’s Cost-of-Living Refund, we identify three main effects. First, accelerating the credit phase-in (or eliminating it entirely) would...

May 18, 2020
Elaine MaagDonald Marron
Brief
Individual Taxes

Tax Incentives for Retirement Savings

Federal tax law provides substantial tax incentives for retirement saving. These include the deferral of taxes on contributions to retirement savings accounts by employers, employees, and self-employed taxpayers and the earnings on these contributions until the funds are withdrawn in retirement...

May 11, 2020
Eric ToderSurachai KhitatrakunAravind Boddupalli
Research report
Individual Taxes

Alternatives to the TCJA Limit on the State and Local Tax Deduction

In this report, we compare revenue equivalent alternatives to the $10,000 annual limit on the state and local tax (SALT) deduction enacted in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). We consider options that would limit all itemized deductions, not just the SALT deduction, and an additional option...

May 7, 2020
Frank SammartinoGordon B. MerminNoah Zwiefel
Brief
Federal Budget and Economy

The President’s Budget Priorities and the COVID-19 Pandemic

On March 30, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its analysis of President Trump’s proposed budget for fiscal year 2021. The president submitted this budget on February 10, 2020, when the pandemic was in its early stages in the US and before the enactment of major relief bills in...

May 7, 2020
Erald KolasiC. Eugene Steuerle
Brief
State and Local Issues

State Revenue Forecasts Before COVID-19 and Directions Forward

The global pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus outbreak will dramatically affect state tax revenues over the next months and possibly years. This brief summarizes how state revenue forecasters viewed their state economies before the COVID-19 pandemic, as documented in governors’ proposed...

April 2, 2020
Lucy Dadayan
Commentary

How to Shore Up State and Local Budgets during a Coronavirus Recession

As the potential economic impact of a global pandemic starts to crystalize, there has rightly been a lot of discussion about how individuals and businesses will fare—and what governments can do to support them. But what will happen to government finances? In particular, what happens to U.S....

April 1, 2020
Therese J. McGuireKim S. Rueben

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