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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2019 Quarter 1

State government tax revenues rebounded in the first quarter of 2019 after declines in the fourth quarter of 2018. However, year-over-year growth was substantially weaker in the first quarter of 2019 than in the final quarter of 2017 and the first three quarters of 2018. Most of the recent...

September 24, 2019
Lucy Dadayan
Research report
Individual Taxes

Shifting Child Tax Benefits in the TCJA Left Most Families About the Same

This report analyzes the main provisions of the federal income tax code that provide benefits to families with children, comparing current law with what would be happening had the TCJA not been enacted, and discusses the TCJA’s implications for families of different income levels. On net, almost...

August 16, 2019
Elaine Maag
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2018 Quarter 4

State government tax revenues from major sources declined in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared with the same quarter in 2017, mostly because of declines in state income tax revenues. The declines in income tax collection are partially attributable to the disappearing impact of incentives...

July 16, 2019
Lucy Dadayan
Brief
Individual Taxes

Expanding the Earned Income Tax Credit: The Economic Security Project’s Cost-of-Living Refund

The cost-of-living refund (CLR), a proposal from the Economic Security Project, would revise the current earned income tax credit (EITC) by increasing benefits for many people, expanding eligibility for the credit, and paying the credit in advance via monthly payments. The proposal would provide...

June 10, 2019
Elaine MaagDonald MarronErin Huffer
Research report
Individual Taxes

A Universal EITC: Sharing the Gains from Economic Growth, Encouraging Work, and Supporting Families

This report analyzes a straightforward mechanism to mitigate middle-class wage stagnation: a wage tax credit of 100 percent of earnings up to a maximum credit of $10,000, called a universal earned income tax credit. The child tax credit would increase from $2,000 to $2,500 and be made fully...

May 20, 2019
Leonard E. Burman
Brief
Individual Taxes

Analysis of the Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018

The Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018 extends major individual income and estate tax provisions from 2017’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that are currently scheduled to expire at the end of 2025. The bill would reduce federal revenues by $631 billion within the budget window (...

September 12, 2018
Jeffrey RohalyJoseph RosenbergBenjamin R. PageDaniel Berger
Brief
Federal Budget and Economy

Helping Workers during Recessions

When a recession hits, the federal government usually responds with tax cuts and additional financial assistance, because automatic policies built into the law often prove inadequate and elected officials need and want to respond to the crisis. This brief compares the distributional and stimulus...

June 14, 2018
C. Eugene SteuerleCaleb QuakenbushElaine Maag
Testimony
Individual Taxes

Reflections on the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

Mark Mazur, Director of the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, testified before the Joint Economic Committee during a hearing entitled “Unleashing America’s Economic Potential.” In his testimony, Mazur presented a review of the principles of desirable tax policy, clear and less clear findings...

April 11, 2018
Mark J. Mazur
Research report
Business Taxes

Neutral Tax Reform with 15 Percent Business Income Tax Rate

The Trump administration has announced the broad outlines of a tax reform plan that contains many provisions similar to those in the House GOP tax reform “blueprint” announced last year, but there are fundamental differences in the provisions affecting businesses and investors. While different,...

August 22, 2017
James R. Nunns
Working paper
Individual Taxes

A Synthetic Income Tax Return Data File: Tentative Work Plan and Discussion Draft

Administrative tax data contain a wealth of information that is potentially valuable for research and analysis. However, the legal and ethical imperative to protect taxpayer privacy has restricted access to a small number of government analysts and select researchers. We propose to develop in...

June 30, 2017
Leonard E. BurmanAlex EnglerSurachai KhitatrakunJames R. NunnsSarah Armstrong

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