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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Research report

How Post-Pandemic Tax Cuts Can Affect Racial Equity

State policymakers across the country are considering tax cuts in 2022. While there are many reasons and ways to cut taxes, state policymakers should keep in mind that the pandemic’s negative effects were unequal and that future state revenue growth is uncertain. This report, using the Tax...

February 9, 2022
Richard C. Auxier
Research report

Balancing at the Edge of the Cliff

Public benefit programs have the potential to help stabilize families when their income drops and can provide support as parents enter or reenter the workforce. As a family’s earnings rise, though, those earnings increases are often offset by declines in public...

January 11, 2022
Theresa AndersonAmelia CoffeyHannah DalyHeather HahnElaine MaagKevin Werner
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2021 Quarter 2

State tax revenues saw large swings since the onset of the pandemic, in part because of government actions and behavioral responses to mitigate virus exposure.

States reported strong revenue growth in the second quarter of 2021, but that is largely because of the lower base in 2020. Still...

December 9, 2021
Lucy Dadayan
Brief
State and Local Issues

State Income Tax Expenditures

In this brief, we consider both personal and business income tax expenditures at the state level. We use California, Massachusetts, Minnesota, and the District of Columbia as examples. We separate tax expenditures into those that occur because of conformity with federal tax provisions and those...

January 17, 2020
Aravind BoddupalliFrank SammartinoEric Toder
Research report
State and Local Issues

Are States Betting on Sin? The Murky Future of State Taxation

“Sin taxes” are often viewed as budget saviors, though they play a rather small role in state budgets. Although states raise revenue from sin taxes, policymakers should be mindful of these taxes’ limitations. Absent policy changes (such as increased tax rates), long-term growth for sin tax...

October 8, 2019
Lucy Dadayan
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2019 Quarter 1

State government tax revenues rebounded in the first quarter of 2019 after declines in the fourth quarter of 2018. However, year-over-year growth was substantially weaker in the first quarter of 2019 than in the final quarter of 2017 and the first three quarters of 2018. Most of the recent...

September 24, 2019
Lucy Dadayan
Research report
State and Local Issues

Fiscal Democracy in the States: Data Appendix

Fiscal Democracy in the States: How Much Spending is on Autopilot? analyzes how much spending was restricted or partially restricted in California, Florida, Illinois, New York, Texas, and Virginia from 2000 to 2015.

In this appendix, we document our data sources and methods,...

July 30, 2019
Aravind BoddupalliMegan Randall
Research report
State and Local Issues

Fiscal Democracy in the States: How Much Spending is on Autopilot?

This report was updated on August 29, 2019, to correct a citation in box 7. Proposition 111, approved in California in 1990, was incorrectly cited as Proposition 11 with a year of 1991.

Governors, lawmakers, and journalists often decry constitutional and statutory formulas,...

July 30, 2019
Tracy GordonMegan RandallC. Eugene SteuerleAravind Boddupalli
Research report
State and Local Issues

State Tax and Economic Review, 2018 Quarter 4

State government tax revenues from major sources declined in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared with the same quarter in 2017, mostly because of declines in state income tax revenues. The declines in income tax collection are partially attributable to the disappearing impact of incentives...

July 16, 2019
Lucy Dadayan
Testimony
State and Local Issues

School Funding in New York State: Does the Current Formula Ensure Access for Students of Color?

In this testimony before the New York Advisory Committee to the United States Commission on Civil Rights, Kim Rueben examines New York State’s education funding formula and how limits in state aid amounts affect different low-income students. While New York State has one of the highest per...

June 12, 2019
Kim S. Rueben

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