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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Research report
Federal Budget and Economy

Racial Disparities in the Treatment of Capital Income in the Federal Individual Income Tax

Although the US tax code does not explicitly reference race or ethnicity, the federal income tax system contributes to racial disparities when factors that affect tax liabilities are correlated with race. This study is the first to use the Tax Policy Center’s microsimulation model—newly enhanced...

September 28, 2023
Janet HoltzblattLaura KawanoRobert McClellandGabriella Garriga
Working paper
Federal Budget and Economy

Incorporating Intangibles into TPC Effective Tax Rate Models

May 15, 2023
Thomas BrosyThornton Matheson
Journal Article
Federal Budget and Economy

Deconstructing the Fair Tax

April 27, 2023
William G. GaleKyle Pomerleau
Brief
Business Taxes

What are the Largest Business Tax Expenditures?

In this brief, we list the 10 major business tax expenditures with the largest revenue losses, as defined by the Office of Tax Analysis (OTA) of the US Treasury Department and the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT). We provide a brief description of each provision and briefly...

July 17, 2019
Frank SammartinoEric Toder
Brief
Individual Taxes

What are the Largest Nonbusiness Tax Expenditures?

In this brief we consider the largest nonbusiness tax expenditures in the individual income tax. We provide a description of these provisions, estimates of their cost and the distribution of their tax benefits across income groups, and briefly summarize their effects. We consider tax...

July 17, 2019
Frank SammartinoEric Toder
Research report
Federal Budget and Economy

A U.S. Fiscal Crisis?

Recent tax cuts and the relaxation of spending caps on much of discretionary spending have added massively to the federal debt. Neither political party is showing much interest in controlling deficits and unless there are large changes in fiscal policies we are firmly on a road to a fiscal...

October 17, 2018
Rudolph G. Penner
Journal Article
Federal Budget and Economy

The Federal Budget Outlook: We Are Not Winning

In this article, Auerbach, Gale, and Krupkin discuss the federal budget outlook, examining long-term debt and the fiscal gap using recently updated data from the Congressional Budget Office and the Social Security and Medicare boards of trustees.

July 30, 2018
Alan J. AuerbachWilliam G. GaleAaron Krupkin
Research report
Federal Budget and Economy

The Federal Budget Outlook: Even Crazier After All These Years

We examine the budget outlook, given new Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projections that reflect the recently enacted tax bill and spending deals. The prospect of routine trillion-dollar deficits has dominated public response to CBO’s report, but the underlying problem is even more serious....

April 23, 2018
Alan J. AuerbachWilliam G. GaleAaron Krupkin
Testimony
Individual Taxes

Reflections on the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

Mark Mazur, Director of the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, testified before the Joint Economic Committee during a hearing entitled “Unleashing America’s Economic Potential.” In his testimony, Mazur presented a review of the principles of desirable tax policy, clear and less clear findings...

April 11, 2018
Mark J. Mazur
Brief
Federal Budget and Economy

Reconsidering Americans' Overestimates of Government Waste and Foreign Aid

Widespread and profound public misinformation about government presents a serious challenge to democratic accountability. This paper demonstrates that two of the most common examples of public misperception may be systematically overestimated; public misperceptions of “foreign aid” spending and...

March 30, 2018
Vanessa Williamson

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