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Tax Policy Center

Research & Commentary

Brief
Federal Budget and Economy

The Decade of Deficits: The Latest Ominous Projections from the Congressional Budget Office

In January, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its first economic and budgetary outlook of the decade. Even prior to the recent COVID-19 crisis, along with its attendant impact on the budget, CBO projected a deficit of more than $1 trillion for fiscal year 2020. The federal budget is...

March 27, 2020
Erald KolasiC. Eugene Steuerle
Brief
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

An Analysis of Senator Sanders's Tax Proposals

In this brief, we estimate the revenue and distributional effects of Senator Bernie Sanders’s 2020 campaign tax proposals. We show the revenue and distributional implications of tax proposals excluding those related to his Medicare for All plan. We also report the revenue estimates (but not the...

March 19, 2020
TPC Staff
Brief
Individual Taxes

Extending the Earned Income Tax Credit: How the Economic Security Project’s Cost-of-Living Refund Would Affect Family Caregivers

In recognition of the important work family caregivers do, the Economic Security Project (ESP) has proposed that they be eligible for the cost-of-living refund, an expansion of the earned income tax credit (EITC). Among other changes to the EITC, the cost-of-living refund would extend benefits...

January 30, 2020
Elaine MaagMelissa M. FavreaultNikhita Airi
Brief
Individual Taxes

Debt and Politics: Integrating America’s Fiscal Outlook with New Campaign Proposals

Congress and the president have put the federal budget on track for unsustainable and rising deficits without end. Mandatory spending programs—those that continue automatically without new appropriations—are expanding at a faster rate than discretionary spending programs, while total spending...

January 27, 2020
Erald KolasiC. Eugene Steuerle
Brief
Individual Taxes

How Did the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Change Tax Expenditures?

The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act reduced tax expenditures but by much less than the Tax Reform Act of 1986, relative to the size of the economy. In this report, we review the major changes from the new law to individual (nonbusiness) and business tax expenditures. The former category includes tax...

January 22, 2020
Frank SammartinoEric Toder
Brief
Individual Taxes

Tax Expenditure Basics

Tax expenditures are the revenue losses attributable to special provisions in tax laws that reduce taxes for certain sources or uses of income or for certain groups of taxpayers. They are called tax expenditures because many of them effectively serve the same function as direct spending programs...

January 22, 2020
Frank SammartinoEric Toder
Brief
State and Local Issues

State Income Tax Expenditures

In this brief, we consider both personal and business income tax expenditures at the state level. We use California, Massachusetts, Minnesota, and the District of Columbia as examples. We separate tax expenditures into those that occur because of conformity with federal tax provisions and those...

January 17, 2020
Aravind BoddupalliFrank SammartinoEric Toder
Testimony
State and Local Issues

Strengthening the Federal-State-Local Partnership in Recession and Recovery

Tracy Gordon, senior fellow, testified before the US House of Representatives Committee on the Budget for a hearing on “Why Federal Investments Matter: Stability from Congress to State Capitals.” In her testimony she notes that while states and localities are key economic players and service...

January 15, 2020
Tracy Gordon
Brief
Individual Taxes

Reforming Tax Expenditures for Health Care

This brief examines major tax expenditures for health care under current law and analyzes three potential reforms to the tax exclusion for employer-sponsored health insurance (ESI) premiums. We use the Tax Policy Center microsimulation model’s revamped health module as well as health insurance...

January 13, 2020
Gordon B. MerminMatthew BuettgensClare Wang PanRobin Wang
Brief
Individual Taxes

Expanding Modeling Capability on Tax Expenditures for Charitable Contributions

Until now TPC’s basic distributional analysis did not separately examine charitable contributions. As part of this research project, we have created a new module that extends the capacity of our microsimulation model to simulate the effect of proposed policy changes on charitable contributions....

December 23, 2019
Robert McClellandC. Eugene SteuerleChenxi Lu

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