Updated: Who Gains and Who Loses under the Better Care Reconciliation Act

On July 11, 2017, we released our analysis of the distributional effects of the tax and health care benefit changes that would occur under the proposed Better Care Reconciliation Act (BCRA). On July 13, the Senate leadership introduced a modified version of the bill. Here, we update our previous analysis of the changes in taxes and federal health benefits across families grouped by income to take these recent bill changes into account. This analysis does not take include the revised bill’s Title III provisions introduced by Senator Cruz; the bill text encloses those provisions in bold brackets, indicating that their final inclusion has not yet been decided. We will analyze the Title III provisions later.