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Brief

Retirement Security and the Stock Market Crash: What Are the Possible Outcomes?

Barbara Butrica, Karen E. Smith, Eric Toder
December 17, 2009
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Abstract

This paper simulates the impact of the 2008 stock market crash on future retirement savings under alternative scenarios. If stocks remain depressed as after the 1974 crash, 20 percent of preboomers born 1941-45 and 22 percent of late boomers born 1961-65 would see their retirement incomes drop 10 percent or more. Working another year would reduce the share of these big losers to 14 percent for late boomers. Because most pre-boomers were already retired, their share of big losers would decline slightly to 19 percent. Delaying retirement would disproportionately benefit low-income people because their additional earnings exceed their stock market losses.

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Federal Budget and Economy
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Meet the Experts

  • Barbara Butrica
    Senior Fellow
  • Karen E. Smith
    Senior Fellow
  • Eric Toder
    Institute Fellow and Codirector, Tax Policy Center
Research report

New Evidence on The Effect of The TCJA On the Housing Market

Robert McClelland, Livia Mucciolo, Safia Sayed
March 30, 2022
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