Distributional Analysis of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act as Passed by the House Ways and Means Committee

The Tax Policy Center has released new distributional estimates of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act to reflect the bill as passed by the Committee on Ways and Means of the US House of Representatives on November 9, 2017. The changes from the bill as originally introduced have a relatively minor effect on the distribution of the tax changes across income groups. We find the legislation would reduce taxes on average for all income groups in 2018 and 2027. The largest cuts, in dollars and as a percentage of after-tax income, would accrue to higher-income households. However, not all taxpayers would receive a tax cut under this proposal—at least 7 percent of taxpayers would pay higher taxes under the proposal in 2018, and at least 24 percent of taxpayers would pay more in 2027.