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Research report

Catastrophic Budget Failure

Leonard E. Burman, Katherine Lim, Jeffrey Rohaly, Joseph Rosenberg
September 1, 2010
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Abstract

Continuation of current U.S. fiscal policy will lead to an enormous accumulation of debt with potentially disastrous economic consequences. Exacerbated by the recent economic turmoil and fueled by the willingness of creditors to lend at very low interest rates, there is signifi cant risk that necessary fi scal reform will be put off. In this paper, we consider the causes, mechanisms, and macroeconomic fallout of a catastrophic budget failure a situation in which markets perception of the credit worthiness of the U.S. government rapidly deteriorates, leaving it unable to access credit markets at any reasonable rate of interest and generating a high probability of the previously unthinkable: the U.S. government defaulting on its debt obligations.

Research Area

Federal Budget and Economy
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Meet the Experts

  • Leonard E. Burman
    Institute Fellow
  • Katherine Lim
  • Jeffrey Rohaly
    Principal Research Associate
  • Joseph Rosenberg
    Senior Research Associate
Research report

New Evidence on The Effect of The TCJA On the Housing Market

Robert McClelland, Livia Mucciolo, Safia Sayed
March 30, 2022
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