Research report

The Trump administration has announced the broad outlines of a tax reform plan that contains many provisions similar to those in the House GOP tax reform “blueprint” announced last year, but there are fundamental differences in the provisions affecting businesses and investors. While different,...

August 22, 2017
James R. Nunns
Research report

Tax cuts often look like “free lunches” for taxpayers, but they eventually have to be paid for with other tax increases or spending cuts.  We examine the distributional effects – with and without financing – of a tax plan consistent with the outline the Trump Administration produced in April. ...

August 15, 2017
William G. GaleSurachai KhitatrakunAaron Krupkin
Research report

While policy makers and news headlines focus on debates about health care and tax policy, the U.S. fiscal outlook remains troubling and is a constraint against which new proposals should be judged. Budget deficits appear manageable in the short run, but the nation’s debt-GDP ratio is already...

August 7, 2017
Alan J. AuerbachWilliam G. Gale
Research report

This paper examines, individually and jointly, an excise tax on carbon and an expansion of EITC benefits to childless workers. We estimate how an illustrative tax of $32 per ton of CO2 from fossil fuel combustion would burden households differentially across the income distribution, how it could...

July 31, 2017
Aparna MathurAdele C. Morris
Research report

This paper was updated on July 27, 2017 to incorporate the overlapping generations model estimates produced by the Penn Wharton Budget Model.


The Trump administration released an outline of...
July 13, 2017
TPC Staff
Research report

This paper presents estimates of the macroeconomic effects, and resulting dynamic impact on revenues, of the House GOP tax plan announced in June 2016. The estimates were produced in two ways. One set of estimates uses a combination of TPC’s Keynesian model (to project short-run effects on...

June 30, 2017
Benjamin R. Page
Research report

Differences in state taxes paid and benefits received for immigrants and native-born Americans are driven by differences in demographic characteristics. Spending on immigrants is somewhat greater primarily because they have more school age children. Fiscal impacts also vary by state. This brief...

June 6, 2017
Kim S. RuebenSarah Gault
Research report

A tax deduction intended to encourage conservation of environmentally important land and historic buildings has become a lucrative way for real estate developers to finance development projects—cheating the government out of billions of dollars of revenue and in some cases doing little to...

June 1, 2017
Adam Looney
Research report

Income volatility may complicate tax filing and predicting eligibility for critical tax benefits, such as the earned income tax credit. Half of all working-age adults¬—and 64 percent of low-income, working-age adults—have household income that for at least one month of the year will spike above...

May 25, 2017
Elaine MaagH. Elizabeth PetersAnthony HannaganCary Lou
Research report

States invest in three areas to encourage job and wage growth: the marketplace, the workforce, and the community. Marketplace investment includes general business support and finance assistance, small-business procurement programs, and tax incentives. Workforce programs develop and train the...

April 24, 2017
Norton FrancisMegan Randall