Tax Policy Center

Model Estimates

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T21-0095 – Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes, All Tax Units, by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2031

Distribution of all federal taxes combined, by income level, under a current law baseline for 2031. Supplemental sheets provide a breakdown by filing status, presence of children, and elderly status. Baseline is the law in place for 2031 as of July 19, 2021. For more information on TPC’s baseline definitions, see

August 5, 2021