Tax Policy Center

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Jeffrey Rohaly

Principal Research Associate
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Working paper
Federal Budget and Economy

A New Approach for Estimating the Impact of Tax Policies by Race and Ethnicity

This working paper describes the method the Tax Policy Center (TPC) has used to enhance its tax microsimulation model to enable analysis of the distributional effects of tax policies by race and ethnicity. It also presents preliminary results using the enhanced model. Like microsimulation models...

February 10, 2023
Surachai KhitatrakunGordon B. MerminBenjamin R. PageJeffrey Rohaly
Brief
Business Taxes

Macroeconomic Analysis of Former Vice President Biden's Tax Proposals

NOTE: This is an updated version of the analysis published November 10, 2020.1

The Tax Policy Center (TPC) has analyzed the macroeconomic effects of the tax proposals that President Joe Biden advanced during his 2020 presidential campaign. We find the...

July 21, 2021
Benjamin R. PageJeffrey RohalyThornton MathesonGordon B. MerminJason DeBackerRichard Evans
Brief
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

An Updated Analysis of Former Vice President Biden's Tax Proposals

NOTE: This is a corrected version of the analysis originally published October 15, 2020.

This brief updates estimates of the revenue and distributional effects of former vice president Joe Biden’s 2020 campaign tax...

November 6, 2020
Gordon B. MerminJanet HoltzblattSurachai KhitatrakunChenxi LuThornton MathesonJeffrey Rohaly
Research report
Individual Taxes

Description of the Tax Policy Center’s Improved Methodology for Analysis of the Taxation of Pass-Through Income

This report describes the Tax Policy Center’s (TPC’s) improved methodology for analyzing the taxation of pass-through income (income generated through business activities that is taxed at the individual level). Under current law, certain types of pass-through income are taxed at different rates...

August 19, 2020
Benjamin R. PageJeffrey RohalyThornton Matheson
Brief
Business Taxes

Tax Incentives for Pass-Through Income

This chartbook explores the implications of the tax-advantaged treatment of pass-through income enacted as part of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA). Section 199A of the TCJA allows a deduction from taxable income of 20 percent of certain pass-through income. We look specifically at the...

July 15, 2020
Benjamin R. PageJeffrey RohalyThornton MathesonAravind Boddupalli
Brief
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

An Analysis of Former Vice President Biden’s Tax Proposals

In this brief, we estimate the revenue and distributional effects of former vice president Joe Biden’s 2020 campaign tax proposals, based on information released by the Biden campaign and conversations with campaign staff. We analyze Biden’s proposals as of February 23, 2020...

March 5, 2020
Gordon B. MerminSurachai KhitatrakunChenxi LuThornton MathesonJeffrey Rohaly
Brief
Individual Taxes

Analysis of the Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018

The Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018 extends major individual income and estate tax provisions from 2017’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that are currently scheduled to expire at the end of 2025. The bill would reduce federal revenues by $631 billion within the budget window (...

September 12, 2018
Jeffrey RohalyJoseph RosenbergBenjamin R. PageDaniel Berger
Brief
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

Macroeconomic Analysis of the Tax Cuts And Jobs Act

The Tax Policy Center has released an analysis of the macroeconomic effects of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act as passed by Congress. We find the legislation would boost US gross domestic product (GDP) 0.8 percent in 2018 and would have little effect on GDP in 2027 or 2037. The resulting increase in...

December 20, 2017
Benjamin R. PageJoseph RosenbergJames R. NunnsJeffrey RohalyDaniel Berger
Brief
Campaigns, Proposals, and Reforms

Macroeconomic Analysis of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act as Passed by the Senate

The Tax Policy Center has released an analysis of the macroeconomic effects of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act as passed by the Senate on December 2, 2017. We find the legislation would boost US gross domestic product (GDP) 0.7 percent in 2018, have little effect on GDP in 2027, and boost GDP 0.1...

December 11, 2017
Benjamin R. PageJoseph RosenbergJames R. NunnsJeffrey RohalyDaniel Berger