Tax Policy Center

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Benjamin R. Page

Senior Fellow

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Brief

The Tax Policy Center has released an analysis of the macroeconomic effects of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act as passed by the US House of Representatives on November 16, 2017. We find the legislation would boost US economic output by 0.6 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2018, 0.3 percent...

November 20, 2017
Benjamin R. PageJoseph RosenbergJames R. NunnsJeffrey RohalyDaniel Berger
Research report

This paper presents estimates of the macroeconomic effects, and resulting dynamic impact on revenues, of the House GOP tax plan announced in June 2016. The estimates were produced in two ways. One set of estimates uses a combination of TPC’s Keynesian model (to project short-run effects on...

June 30, 2017
Benjamin R. Page
Research report

This paper gives an overview of the TPC’s methodology for dynamic analysis of tax proposals. Following the practice of official government estimators, we use a Keynesian model to estimate the short-term effects of policy changes on output relative to its full-employment level. That model assumes...

April 5, 2017
Benjamin R. PageKent Smetters
Research report

This research report was originally published by the Columbia Journal of Tax Law. The publication is updated version of, "An Analysis of the...

April 5, 2017
Leonard E. BurmanJames R. NunnsBenjamin R. PageJeffrey RohalyJoseph Rosenberg
Brief

This year, Congress will consider what may be the biggest tax bill in decades. This is one of a series of briefs the Tax Policy Center has prepared to help people follow the debate. Each focuses on a key tax policy issue that Congress and the Trump administration may address. This brief examines...

March 7, 2017
Benjamin R. Page
Research report

This paper analyzes the House GOP tax reform blueprint, which would significantly reduce marginal tax rates, increase standard deduction amounts, repeal personal exemptions and most itemized deductions, allow businesses to expense new investment, and not allow businesses to deduct net interest...

September 16, 2016
James R. NunnsLeonard E. BurmanJeffrey RohalyJoseph RosenbergBenjamin R. Page
Brief

This paper gives an overview of the methodology behind the short- and long-run dynamic scoring of Hillary Clinton’s and Donald Trump’s tax plan proposals. Following the practice of official government estimators, we use a Keynesian model to estimate the short-term effects of policy changes on...

September 16, 2016
Benjamin R. PageKent Smetters

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