Tax Policy Center

CBO

Business Taxes: TaxVox
Yesterday was quite a day for corporate tax geeks. We saw a corporate tax inversion that comes with a long, Baroque history; an estimate by Reed College economist Kim Clausing that inversions and other income-shifting techniques reduced Treasury revenues by as much as $111 billion in 2012; and a
January 25, 2016Howard Gleckman
Individual Taxes: TaxVox
The other day, I wrote about new Congressional Budget Office estimates that individual income tax revenues are likely to grow significantly over the next decade. A new paper by my Tax Policy Center colleagues Jim Nunns and Jeff Rohaly shows the importance of this trend through the rest of the
September 3, 2015Howard Gleckman
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox
In its semi-annual fiscal update released this week, the Congressional Budget Office projects that federal revenues will remain flat over the next decade, while spending—mostly for health care and Social Security—will rise. The result: Budget deficits, which have been declining in recent years as
August 27, 2015Howard Gleckman
: TaxVox
The CBO, the ACA, and the economy: Precision doesn’t mean accuracy. Last Friday, the Congressional Budget Office projected that repeal of the Affordable Care Act would add $137 billion to the national debt over 10 years but boost the economy. But the estimates came with a big warning: “[R]epealing
June 24, 2015Renu Zaretsky
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox
This is one of a series of TaxVox guest blogs discussing dynamic scoring . One of the strengths of the US budgeting system is that proposals are held accountable through a relatively open process of scoring the costs and benefits. This process, as run by the Congressional Budget Office and others,
March 6, 2015Simon Johnson
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox
This is one of a series of guest TaxVox blog posts discussing dynamic scoring. The House recently changed the rules of budget scoring: The Congressional Budget Office and the Joint Committee on Taxation will now account for macroeconomic effects when estimating the budget impacts of major
February 27, 2015Donald Marron
Individual Taxes: TaxVox
This is one of a series of guest TaxVox blog posts discussing dynamic scoring House Ways & Means Committee Chairman Paul Ryan has claimed that the House dynamic scoring rule would generate more information. But the new rule asks for an official cost estimate that reflects only a single estimate
February 25, 2015Chye-Ching Huang
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox
This is one of a series of guest TaxVox blog posts discussing dynamic scoring . It is obvious that changes in spending and tax policies affect macroeconomic variables, such as the Gross Domestic Product. The problem is in knowing how much. Different economic models yield very different answers and
February 20, 2015Rudolph G. Penner
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox
The House vote to require the Congressional Budget Office and the congressional Joint Committee on Taxation to include macroeconomic effects in some official budget scores is enormously controversial in the policy world and among economists. To help unpack this complex issue, Tax Vox has asked
February 19, 2015Howard Gleckman
Federal Budget and Economy: TaxVox
CBO’s new budget projections are an opportunity to take stock of the country’s fiscal situation. At the risk of oversimplifying, the report contains one piece of good news, and two of bad news. The bottom line: The sky is not falling but policymakers have fallen short of solving the long-term
January 27, 2015William G. Gale