The president's 2003 tax proposals include accelerating the so-called "marriage penalty" relief for middle- and upper-class married couples, rather than phasing in the change over a decade. Yet, for the largest source of cash assistance to low-income working families—the earned income tax credit...
[Los Angeles Times] On May 15, the Senate passed a tax cut that would probably prove even more costly and less responsible than the Bush Administration. The president's dividend-relief proposal would cost almost $400 billion over the next 10 years. The Senate version could end up costing...
This paper evaluates the tax proposals put forth by the Bush Administration, the House of Representatives, and the Senate Finance Committee, with respect to their impact on revenues, short-term stimulus, long-term growth and distribution of tax burdens and after-tax income. Particular attention...
In 1986, a policy decision was made to exempt poor people from the income tax. Increases in the earned income tax credit (EITC) and the introduction of the child tax credit (CTC) have increased the so-called "tax entry threshold" since 1986, and provisions in the Economic Growth and Tax Relief...
While the payroll tax rates for Hospital Insurance and OASDI have increased since 1966, the HI rate has risen faster. The HI rate is now almost one-quarter of the OASDI rate. Orszag concludes that removing the current $87,000 cap on taxable payroll under OASDI would raise a substantial share of...
Analyses of the private pension system typically focus on such issues as how to improve overage or encourage saving or prevent tax abuse or generate retirement income more equitably. Those issues are important, but the thesis of this paper is that more attention needs to be paid to the structure...
[Boston Globe] Like Massachusetts, state governments across the nation are facing budget deficits of historic proportions. Next year, they will face combined projected shortfalls of between $70 billion and $85 billionor about 15 percent of all the money they spend out of their general...
This paper examines long-term fiscal discipline and economic performance, with two main results. First, declines in budget surpluses (increases in deficits) reduce national saving and therefore reduce future national income, regardless of their effect on interest rates. Second, increases in...
The Bush Administration's budget includes a chapter entitled "The Real Fiscal Danger," which highlights the projected imbalances in Social Security and Medicare. Ironically, the budget does not include any specific steps to eliminate or even reduce those imbalances. It does, however, propose...
A recent Congressional Budget Office report presented many estimates, both positive and negative, for the effect of the presidents proposed tax cut on the economy. In issuing this report, CBO indirectly called into question many of the more nave statements made about the ability of Congress to "...
Working Poor Won't Get Quick Relief
The president's 2003 tax proposals include accelerating the so-called "marriage penalty" relief for middle- and upper-class married couples, rather than phasing in the change over a decade. Yet, for the largest source of cash assistance to low-income working families—the earned income tax credit...
Congress Morphs an 'Itty-Bitty' Tax Cut Into a Budget Buster
[Los Angeles Times] On May 15, the Senate passed a tax cut that would probably prove even more costly and less responsible than the Bush Administration. The president's dividend-relief proposal would cost almost $400 billion over the next 10 years. The Senate version could end up costing...
Thinking through the Tax Options
This paper evaluates the tax proposals put forth by the Bush Administration, the House of Representatives, and the Senate Finance Committee, with respect to their impact on revenues, short-term stimulus, long-term growth and distribution of tax burdens and after-tax income. Particular attention...
Tax Entry Thresholds, 2000-2011
In 1986, a policy decision was made to exempt poor people from the income tax. Increases in the earned income tax credit (EITC) and the introduction of the child tax credit (CTC) have increased the so-called "tax entry threshold" since 1986, and provisions in the Economic Growth and Tax Relief...
Taxable Payroll and Payroll Tax Rates
While the payroll tax rates for Hospital Insurance and OASDI have increased since 1966, the HI rate has risen faster. The HI rate is now almost one-quarter of the OASDI rate. Orszag concludes that removing the current $87,000 cap on taxable payroll under OASDI would raise a substantial share of...
Reality Testing for Pension Reform
Analyses of the private pension system typically focus on such issues as how to improve overage or encourage saving or prevent tax abuse or generate retirement income more equitably. Those issues are important, but the thesis of this paper is that more attention needs to be paid to the structure...
Biting the Budget Bullet
[Boston Globe] Like Massachusetts, state governments across the nation are facing budget deficits of historic proportions. Next year, they will face combined projected shortfalls of between $70 billion and $85 billionor about 15 percent of all the money they spend out of their general...
The Economic Effects of Long-Term Fiscal Discipline
This paper examines long-term fiscal discipline and economic performance, with two main results. First, declines in budget surpluses (increases in deficits) reduce national saving and therefore reduce future national income, regardless of their effect on interest rates. Second, increases in...
The Real Fiscal Danger
The Bush Administration's budget includes a chapter entitled "The Real Fiscal Danger," which highlights the projected imbalances in Social Security and Medicare. Ironically, the budget does not include any specific steps to eliminate or even reduce those imbalances. It does, however, propose...
Making the Right Case for Dynamic Analysis
A recent Congressional Budget Office report presented many estimates, both positive and negative, for the effect of the presidents proposed tax cut on the economy. In issuing this report, CBO indirectly called into question many of the more nave statements made about the ability of Congress to "...