Research report

The behavior of state and local receipts around the end of a business cycle is historically mixed, but the last three recessions exhibit a common trend: receipts trail expenditures during the recession, and even a year or two afterwards.

March 1, 2004
C. Eugene Steuerle, Adam Carasso
Research report

The president's effort to "leave no child behind" has run into opposition on a variety of fronts. The Congress complained that the money was too little, insisted that the president spend less to reduce the deficit, and then passed the Omnibus Reconciliation and Giveaway Acts of 2003 and 2004. In...

March 1, 2004
C. Eugene Steuerle
Research report

This paper examines the economic impacts of the Bush Administration's proposal to make its recent tax cuts permanent. Making the tax cuts permanent would be regressive and would dig a fiscal hole over the next 75 years that is as big as the combined social security and medicare trust fund...

March 8, 2004
William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Research report

Congress continues to let the cost of a tax subsidy grow without bound. Perhaps one day Congress will take on the broader issue of entitlement reform, forcing all entitlement programs to go through some of the hurdles required of discretionary programs. Then those programs would be allowed to...

April 12, 2004
C. Eugene Steuerle
Research report

Because of the strikingly large long-term fiscal gaps being projected recently for the United States, researchers have searched for hidden assumptions underlying revenue projections that might be biasing the results. This paper addresses the extent to which alternative projections of tax-...

July 26, 2004
Alan J. Auerbach, William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Research report

For the last several years, Congress has been on a spending spree unlike any in the nation’s history — a turnaround of about 7 percent of gross domestic product in going from surplus to deficit. In addition to size, what made this spree unique was that tax cuts, defense increases, large...

December 6, 2004
C. Eugene Steuerle
Research report

Tax programs that provide deductions to homeowners or credits to both builders and owners, greatly exceed direct federal outlays on housing. The beneficiaries of these tax programs tend to be middle-to-upper income families who own their homes while the recipients of outlays tend to be lower...

February 28, 2005
Adam Carasso, C. Eugene Steuerle, Elizabeth Bell
Research report

Despite substantial attention given to fiscal policy concerns in recent years, the federal government's fiscal status has continued to deteriorate, with the enactment of tax cuts, a massive new Medicare entitlement, increased spending on defense and homeland security, and related economic...

April 17, 2006
Alan J. Auerbach, William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Research report

The Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act of 2005 will extend the low tax rates on capital gains and dividends through 2010, grant temporary relief from the individual alternative minimum tax through 2006, and extend several expiring business tax breaks. To prevent Senators from raising...

May 11, 2006
Leonard E. Burman
Research report

In a tax code with no shortage of ironies, the alternative minimum tax (AMT) stands out. Created by Congress in 1969, it was aimed at millionaires, but relatively few millionaires pay it. It is billed as a low-rate levy, but most of its victims face higher taxes because of it. It undermines two...

October 29, 2007
Leonard E. Burman