Tax Policy Center

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William G. Gale

Codirector

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Research report

This paper examines the effects of recent tax cuts as a short-term economic stimulus. The passage of the tax cuts was well-timed to offset economic downturns, but several elements of the structure of the tax cuts were poorly designed to provide short-term stimulus. For example, the tax cuts were...

November 1, 2004
William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Research report

Tax policy can raise growth in the long run increasing the level and improving the allocation of labor and capital inputs. The net effect of the recent tax cuts on growth is theoretically uncertain and is the net effect of (a) the generally positive effects induced by lower marginal tax rates, (...

October 18, 2004
Peter Orszag, William G. Gale
Research report

This paper is the first of a series that summarizes and analyzes these policies and proposals. The series has two broad goals: to describe, interpret, and assess what has happened; and to examine the consequences of making the tax cuts permanent. This paper provides background information...

September 13, 2004
William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Research report

Because of the strikingly large long-term fiscal gaps being projected recently for the United States, researchers have searched for hidden assumptions underlying revenue projections that might be biasing the results. This paper addresses the extent to which alternative projections of tax-...

July 26, 2004
Alan J. Auerbach, William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Brief

The saver's credit, enacted in 2001 as part of the Bush administration's tax cut legislation, provides a government matching contribution for voluntary individual contributions to 401(k) plans, individual retirement accounts (IRAs), and similar retirement savings arrangements. It is the first...

July 1, 2004
William G. Gale, Peter Orszag, J. Mark Iwry
Brief

Recent and proposed fiscal policies--the tax cuts, proposals to make them permanent, and the Medicare prescription drug bill--will hurt economic prospects for most of today's children and all future generations. The programs will leave economic growth largely unchanged, but will redistribute...

July 1, 2004
William G. Gale, Laurence J. Kotlikoff
Research report

Over a permanent horizon, the fiscal gap now exceeds 7 percent of GDP under the CBO baseline and 10 percent of GDP under an adjusted baseline, substantially higher than a year ago. Allocating the fiscal gap to different programs is not straightforward, though. Most government programs are...

May 24, 2004
Alan J. Auerbach, William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Research report

This paper examines the economic impacts of the Bush Administration's proposal to make its recent tax cuts permanent. Making the tax cuts permanent would be regressive and would dig a fiscal hole over the next 75 years that is as big as the combined social security and medicare trust fund...

March 8, 2004
William G. Gale, Peter Orszag
Research report

On February 2, the Bush administration released its budget proposals for fiscal years 2005-2009. This article provides initial analysis of the budget, with several interesting conclusions.

February 23, 2004
Peter Orszag, William G. Gale

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